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How accurate are weather forecasts?

By Adam Neely
Quick answer: Forecasts are very accurate for the next 1–3 days, decent out to about a week, and shaky beyond that. AI models and denser sensor networks keep improving…

Forecasts are very accurate for the next 1–3 days, decent out to about a week, and shaky beyond that. AI models and denser sensor networks keep improving short-term accuracy, but local shifts can still surprise them.

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